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日本央行纪要:扩大QQE政策颇具争议

日期:2014-11-25
  日本央行(BOJ)周二(11月25日)发布了10月31日的会议纪要。内容显示,日本央行相关人士在10月31日的会议上提议扩大QQE,但央行内部就是否扩大宽松规模问题上存在较大分歧。不过,多数委员认为只要有必要央行应继续推进QQE以实现2%的物价稳定目标,且将检测上下行风险并在必要时调整政策。
  多数委员认为,日本经济仍保持温和复苏趋势,通胀暂时将保持在1%左右。如果油价仍保持低位,则对通胀的压力将持续至2015财年上半年;如果物价下行压力仍然存在,恐推迟日本民众对通缩心态的转变。一名委员称,如果日本央行不扩大QQE,则会被视作不践行稳定物价的承诺;另一名委员称,扩大后的QQE足以在2015财年下半年实现2%物价目标。
  而部分委员表示,扩大QQE会让人们愈加认为日本央行货产品政策是替财政赤字融资,且与最初实行的QQE相比,现在扩大QQE的影响有限;少部分委员称,更多的国债购买可能会损害市场运作;一名委员称,有必要再平衡国债购买以推动收益率曲线下降;另一名委员称如果能看到实现物价目标的希望,讨论退出策略将是可能的。还有一些委员认为,更多宽松措施的效果与其带来的成本相比,不值一提。
  日本央行在10月31日的会议意外决议扩大QQE,将每年购入政府债券规模从50万亿日元扩大至80万亿日元,等于承认通胀未达物价目标。日本央行九名委员中有四名委员反对扩大政策的决定,投票最终以5:4通过扩大QQE。
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