汇市新闻

美元強勢可望持續

日期:2021-07-06

周一(7月5日),美元兌一籃子主要貨幣基本持穩,上周美國公布的就業數據喜憂參半,緩解了投資者對貨幣刺激計劃加快結束的擔憂。雖然6月份的整體就業數據超出預期,但失業率上升,勞動力參與率沒有變化——這表明經濟取得了積極進展,但美聯儲在縮減資產購買或提高利率之前仍有等待的空間。


周一亞市和歐市早盤,美元試圖反彈,但到倫敦午盤時,美元回落至上周三以來的最低水平92.14,美市盤中交投於平盤附近。美國股市周一因獨立日假期休市。新加坡馬來亞銀行的分析師在一份研究報告中說,自美聯儲在6月轉趨鷹派以來,美元對強勁的國內數據越來越敏感,與此同時,一些發達市場和新興市場仍在抗擊疫情,因此,美元的這輪強勢可能再持續一段時間,而且目前樂觀的冒險氛圍可能並非完全不利於美元。


美元指數測試了92.60阻力位,上周在該水平遭遇了看跌拒絕。該指數還形成了看跌吞沒圖形,這意味着存在看跌回調的可能性。如果該指數開始看跌,那麼它可能會向下測試92.00支撐位以及200日移動均線。交易員將在這兩個水平附近觀察指數的反應。如果該指數能從這些水平反彈,那麼我們將看到漲勢的延續。 



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